Writing in The Conversation, Gigi Foster (Associate Professor, UNSW Australian Business School) and Paul Frijters (Economics Professor, University of Queensland) argue that political science may be better than economics at explaining rising income inequality.
Long before the release of French economist Thomas Piketty’s
smash bestseller, it was recognised by social scientists that income inequality
in developed countries had been rising for a while.
Economists' stock-in-trade explanation for this trend was
that people whose skills combined well with modern production technologies had
seen bigger income growth than people whose skills didn’t combine well with
these modern inventions. In other words: those whose skills complement new
technologies are the disproportionate beneficiaries of economic development.
Raising your income, with complements
The line of argument here is best illustrated by example. If
the income of an illiterate apple picker in the US rose a bit between (say)
1980 and 2010, but the income of a university-educated US worker rose a lot
more in that same period, then so-called skill-biased technological change
could explain this divergence if excess productivity is generated when one combines
the more skilled worker with modern production technologies, like computers or
automated warehousing.
Similar returns are not available to the apple picker, who
uses no new technology in his work as time marches on. On the contrary, he must
compete with new inventions like an automatic apple-picking machine, rather
than designing or tweaking such a machine, as could be done by a high-skilled
worker.
Hence, while the educated worker brings home part of his
steeply rising productivity in his pay check, the pay packet of the
apple-picker grows more weakly as his country develops.
But economists aren’t the only ones pondering why inequality
has increased.
The old boys' club
Political science has for years spoken of rent-seeking
interest groups whose members actively try to circumvent the democratic
process, subverting the intentions of large groups like states or countries in
order to get more for themselves and their chums.
This line of reasoning paints a very different picture of
inequality than that arising from skill-biased technological change. Rather
than an unfortunate but unavoidable side effect of economic advance, whose
fruits can ultimately be made available to all through democracy and
redistribution, increased inequality that results from rent-seeking is arguably
cancerous. Divisive, subversive, and unfair, it offends and cripples the very
society from which it springs.
The Aussie case
Which of these is responsible for observed inequality in
Australia? We take a first stab at answering this question in our recent paper,
published in the Australian Economic Review’s Policy Forum entitled “On the
Economics and Politics of Inequality”, curated by Ian McDonald.
We examine the industries in which the richest Australians
work. We argue that if they rode to their riches on the back of skill-biased
technological change, then our richest residents should have invented new
technologies, or combined their skills with existing production and delivery
technologies like computers, specialised medical equipment, or specialised
engineering technologies. Moreover, we should expect a good number of our
richest residents to have made their fortunes elsewhere and arrived in Australia
later in life: their economic contributions should not be country-specific.
In fact, the vast majority of the richest Australians work
in property, mining, and banking/finance. Tellingly, the highest-earning
workers in these industries do not invent or use advanced production or
distribution technology (as far as we can tell!). People in these highly
regulated industries are handsomely rewarded when they can negotiate special
favours, such as property rezonings, planning law exemptions, mining concessions,
labour law exemptions, or money creation powers.
Much as we economists might not want to admit it, our
findings lend more support to the political science view of inequality than to
the economist’s traditional view, at least as regards to inequality within
Australia. While preliminary, our findings support the contention that the way
to get richest in this country is to know people who are in a position to award
special favours that circumvent democratic processes, and then ingratiate
yourself to those people.
Does the budget entrench or counteract inequality in Australia?
The 2014 budget could almost have been written by the rich.
Higher levies on the rich, such as higher marginal income tax rates at the top,
are temporary whereas cuts to support for the poor, such as medical co-payments
or the halving of unemployment support, are permanent.
Some changes could have been made but were not, such as
superannuation tax concessions that heavily favour the rich and distort
incentives. Instead, changes were made that primarily benefit a few very rich
owners or administrators. Abolishing the carbon tax, for example, mainly
benefits a handful of coal-fired power station owners. University fee
deregulation mainly benefits top university administrators.
How can we improve this situation in the next budget?
Closing off the superannuation loop-holes is a big change
that would reduce inequality. Capping the salaries of top university
administrators, rather than using government debt to finance exorbitant
payrolls for these bureaucrats, would help a bit. Lifting the import ban for
bananas, which currently benefits a few large banana producers at the expense
of the rest of the population, would also help.
Reforming the regulations around property rezoning and
planning exemptions would help a lot. Reforming superannuation funds, whose
very high running costs go into maintaining a few CEOs and those large
buildings you see in the middle of our large cities, would help a lot. Many
more such adjustments are conceivable.
Economists at the Treasury, the Reserve Bank of Australia,
the Productivity Commission, and elsewhere know perfectly well how to reduce
inequality and tackle the political favouritism that fuels increased
inequality. The question is almost entirely one of political will. Does the
population care enough about inequality for the politicians to deliver? We will
see.
If you care about stamping out the cancer of political
favouritism, by all means make your voice heard. But do not be surprised to see
more political favouritism in the next budget that will further increase
inequality.
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